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nkartos
FHS5479 wrote:


How can both Lake Holcombe and New Auburn make the playoffs? Eveyone has said that the game between them this week is win-and-in/lose-and-out game. So how can both make it?


you are correct, only one of these two teams can get in... typo on my part... i have [link=http://www.wissports.net/sports/football/blog/message.aspx?f=110&id=959955]updated my projection[/link]...
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wr88
justawifbfan wrote:


RedwingFever wrote:


According to your Matrix, and making an extremely weak simulation by better record teams winning, same record teams win goes to home team, I've got 0 teams at .500 in conference and 4-5 making it, and 6 teams at .500 and 5-4 not making it also. I tried my best to simulate all of Week 9 games that mattered to help with tiebreakers, and I had Delavan-Darien as the 224th team in.

Looking at that it makes three games in the FRCC this Thursday very big. De Pere, Manitowoc Lincoln, and Green Bay Southwest are all 4-3 in conference. Southwest should win their game, and De Pere has a good chance (although I'll be rooting for the upset), but Manty is going to have one tough game with GB Preble (6-2, 5-2) so I see Manty missing the cut at 4-4, 4-5.

PS. There's no need to apologize longball, I know everyone here greatly appreciates what you do and how difficult it is to keep tabs on every team in Wisconsin.


I basically did the same thing, and I have 228 teams at .500 or better in conference. 3 of those finish at .500, 3-6 (Cameron, Medford, and Rapids) and are out. 6 teams finish at .500, 4-5...Edgewood, Tomah, Manny, Tech, Altoona, and Algoma. Playing out all of their defeated conference opponent's week 9 games to figure out the tiebreaker, Algoma is out (barely). 12 teams finish at .500, 5-4 and all make it easily.

Keep in mind that since the expansion to 7 divisions, the highest number of .500 or better teams has been 231. In consecutive years 224 and 225 teams qualified. Never has a team at .500, .500 or better overall not made it.


I agree, they are out, BUT in 2003 Milwaukee King made the D-1 field with a 3-3, 3-6 record. So there still may be light at the end of the tunnel.
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redwingfever
RedwingFever wrote:


According to your Matrix, and making an extremely weak simulation by better record teams winning, same record teams win goes to home team, I've got 0 teams at .500 in conference and 4-5 making it, and 6 teams at .500 and 5-4 not making it also.? I tried my best to simulate all of Week 9 games that mattered to help with tiebreakers, and I had Delavan-Darien as the 224th team in.

Looking at that it makes three games in the FRCC this Thursday very big.? De Pere, Manitowoc Lincoln, and Green Bay Southwest are all 4-3 in conference.? Southwest should win their game, and De Pere has a good chance (although I'll be rooting for the upset), but Manty is going to have one tough game with GB Preble (6-2, 5-2) so I see Manty missing the cut at 4-4, 4-5.

PS.? There's no need to apologize longball, I know everyone here greatly appreciates what you do and how difficult it is to keep tabs on every team in Wisconsin.



Disregard this post, as I just realized I don't know how to add. ?When I looked at longball's Matrix, I didn't add/subtract correctly and was had cut the playoff field down to 214 teams, not 224. ?So after re-doing it, with the sim, I've got it at 224, and I also have six .500, 4-5 teams in the playoffs.
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lmleader_old


nicholas wrote:


longball wrote:


I see you left out Wisconsin Dells and included Mauston and Fall Creek. Interesting. I agree on about 2-3 possible 4-5 teams getting with 500 records. Apparently I did not read my notes and I had already had Tomah and Manty in.


if Wisconsin Dells loses to Mauston they are probably going to wind up the first 6 win team to not make the playoffs since their conf record will be 2-3 and EVERY 500 conference team will make it in front of them... If Dells wins, they are in and Mauston is out... nice thing is one is in and one is out and they will end up in the same division...

almost the same scenario with fall creek and altoona... except their enrollments are a lot different (274 & 459) so the whoever wins this games might bump a team up or down a division...


Belleville/Albany actually went 6-3 overall 2-3 in the Capitol-South two years ago to get left out of the playoffs.
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