The cycle is the better teams attract the better players and the weaker teams lose them. The better players gravitate toward the better programs and keep it strong, the other schools lose their better players and they weaker. The better players play with or against each other in AAU, they form friendships and often they end up at the same HS.
Did you see the girls 3pt shooting % at State? There were 3 or 4 games where teams were in the single digits!! And yes the TO's were ridiculously high. Anyone who wants a SC is not thinking about the impact it will have on the quality of girls HS bball only for boys that can out athlete the other team.
Anyone notice how many layups Arike misses when she plays fast? It's not a small number. How many girls in HS are comparable to Arike? Very few. And the number of girls that will struggle with that faster, "shoot from deeper" style is going to be immense and drive them away form the game.
The other big thing I see AAU influencing in GBB is the 5 out pass & cut offense. I only saw a 2-3 of the 20 teams at state consistantly run some form of a base offense with girls in the low/high post vs MTM defenses. You are seeing more girls that are over 5'10" that don't even think about posting up & in some cases can't score from the post, no skills. It has become a perimeter game for most teams & players. The tall girl from Bangor could certainly post up, but spent a lot of time on the perimeter. I accept that changes will happen to the game, but I still miss watching a dominate post player down in the block working hard, consistantly. I do think it helps your team if your "bigs" can step outside & at least dribble & pass, maybe even shoot, but the art of the postup is being lost. Even in the college game, with a shot clock, you still see teams posting up & trying to feed the post, in a conventional way. I really enjoy that.
I also think, that this up tempo, pass & cut offense is fairly new to GBB & given some time & years to work on it, you will see good HS coaches start to figure out the best way to stop it. Obviously to stop it, you will need to have the right kind of players. I look at some off these changes as similar to the run & shoot & spread option FB offenses in the NFL, it took a few years for them to figure out how to defend them, but once they did, they became more of a gimick or situational offense, not a full time offense. I think this will happen with all the spread out bball offenses too.
Change is good for GBB in the long run. Any way to make the game more interesting to watch will help it grow & hopefully get more girls invovled in it. You have been able to see new teams every year move up & be able to contend to get to sectionals or state & others that were at the top move down to more avg, espescially at the small to medium schools were your fortunes can change with the make up & skills of the girls that show up that year. I always cheer for teams that are new to the state tourney, it is good for the sport to see a team rise up & get to that level & I think it is never good to see 1 or 2 teams win it every year, at any division. Some of these positives are certainly due to an increase of AAU or summer bball being available to more & more girls each year & of course, girls just playing more bball.
Now all we need is a shot clock!!