cameroncrazies02
After a change up of the lottery process, the same ol' bland lottery with maybe one shake up a year was completely flipped on it's head.  The lottery now has significantly more spread out percentages for the #1 pick and ability to move up now is cast across the top 4 rather than the top 3 previously and boy did it not disappoint.

1-New Orleans Pelicans
2-Memphis Grizzlies
3-New York Knicks
4-LA Lakers
5-Cleveland Cavaliers
6-Phoenix Suns
7-Chicago Bulls
8-Atlanta Hawks
9-Washington Wizards
10-Atlanta Hawks
11-Minnesota Timberwolves
12-Charotte Hornets
13-Miami Heat
14-Boston Celtics

There are three massive storylines that come from this that don't involve Zion to NY. 

-Pelicans Have Options
After Anthony Davis sent NOP into turmoil before the trade deadline demanding a trade, the Pelicans were in no-man's land.  Do they wilt to his demands and send him to LA?  Or do they hold onto him, hope he doesn't get injured and have to let this play out and sour the locker room?  They chose the latter and sat Davis most of the second half of the season.  They entered this summer with even worse options, seeing any trade package souring since LAL's assets turned into dust without Lebron and Kyrie is packing his bags from BOS forgoing a Davis/Kyrie combo in BOS.  

Now, after they won the lottery, it softens the blow.  They'll have a potential star in waiting and have something to actually build around.  On top of that, LAL moved up from 11 to 4 to sweeten a trade package for Davis.  They may still be sour on sending him to LA and giving him what he wants, but at least what they'd get in return could be markedly better giving them a headstart on a re-tool.

-Memphis re-build kickstarted
MEM was sitting in a precarious position at 8.  They wanted their pick to drop to 9-14 so it'd convey to BOS now instead of in the future when they may be in a full-on re-build.  Instead, they moved up to #2 from #8 and can get a bonafide star in waiting in Ja Morant which would soften the blow of trading their franchise cornerstone, Mike Conley.  Conley stayed healthy and played really well last season.  On top of that, his contract is now only two years left and some team could really talk themselves into trading for him to get to the next level.  Now MEM will suddenly sit with Morant, Jaren Jackson Jr and whatever they acquire in a Conley trade, plus cap space in 2020.

Lakers absolutely will trade the pick
There's no way, after watching Lebron try to fiddle around with a bad mismatched roster, the Lakers keep the pick, draft a rookie and try to fit him in with 35 year old Lebron.  They're going to try to maximize every asset they have and it's entirely feasible they have almost no one on the roster from last year.  

Some fake trades-

MEM trades Mike Conley to BOS for Gordon Hayward, SAC 2019 1st (#14), MEM own 2020 1st

For MEM-this doesn't net them tons of assets, but it starts to re-kindle what they gave away.  Hayward and Conley are on virtually the same contract, about $30M for the next 2 years.  MEM would acquire a late lottery pick this year to pair with #2 and retain their pick they sent to BOS previously which would be huge and give MEM the opportunity to slow their re-build.

For BOS-BOS would walk away from this deal with both hands in the air.  Not only do they flip the bad Hayward contract, who doesn't fit with the team, into a borderline all-star PG, but it doesn't infringe on their cap space this summer.  They can let Kyrie and Rozier walk away without much fret and still only give up assets they have held onto for far too long that aren't their own.  This would absolutely be their back up plan to an Anthony Davis trade, but they no longer can trump a LAL trade package. 

LAL incoming-Anthony Davis
LAL outgoing-Brandon Ingram, Lonzo Ball, #4

NOP incoming-Brandon Ingram, #4, #7
NOP outgoing-Anthony Davis

CHI incoming-Lonzo Ball
CHI outgoing-#7

For LAL-the lottery swung this trade so much, they could complete this deal without having to give up Kuzma.  LAL could still have $30M in cap space after this deal to spend in free agency.  The rest of the roster would be horrendous (Lebron, Davis, Kuzma, Hart, Wagner), but they could fill it out with that cap space.

For NOP-even though it's a weak draft, do they really walk away from a deal that would net them 1, 4, 7 and Ingram?  They could end up with a lineup of Darius Garland, Jrue Holiday, Brandon Ingram, Zion Williamson, Jahlil Okafor with DeAndre Hunter off the bench and $30M in cap space.  

For CHI-a rumor came out today if CHI didn't get into the top 3, they'd look to acquire Lonzo Ball essentially inserting themselves into this deal.  They'd get a steal if they could get into this deal and flip 7 for Ball.  CHI is one of the only other large markets the Ball's would be happy in and he'd be a great floor general for that team in desperate need of a playmaker.  
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blade12
After a change up of the lottery process, the same ol' bland lottery with maybe one shake up a year was completely flipped on it's head.  The lottery now has significantly more spread out percentages for the #1 pick and ability to move up now is cast across the top 4 rather than the top 3 previously and boy did it not disappoint.


I would rather they just reverse the order of draft picks based on record. The team just on the outside of and closest to making the playoffs but doesn't make them gets the first pick and the worst team gets the last lottery pick.  That would keep teams from tanking. Teams that tank don't deserve the best picks.
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dawgstyle
blade12 wrote:


I would rather they just reverse the order of draft picks based on record. The team just on the outside of and closest to making the playoffs but doesn't make them gets the first pick and the worst team gets the last lottery pick.  That would keep teams from tanking. Teams that tank don't deserve the best picks.


This would likely reduce league parity and damage teams that are just genuinely terrible.
@2GuysFromWI

Harbaugh will have Urban Meyer retired from OSU by 2020.
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blade12
dawgstyle wrote:


This would likely reduce league parity and damage teams that are just genuinely terrible.


Maybe, but how does tanking help with parity?
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dawgstyle
Tanking doesnt affect the parity. That's why the lottery exists.  What teams tanked this year?  Which picks did they get?
@2GuysFromWI

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cameroncrazies02
If they did reverse order, teams at the bottom would never get out from the bottom.   It would hinder teams like the Hawks from ever getting out from the bottom.  They're doing it right.  They've saved their cap space and the cap space they have used has been to collect assets like picks and young players by taking advantage of teams who spend their money poorly.  Within the next 3 years, the Hawks should have a playoff team with a good chance at the top 4.  It's not like they sat Collins or Trae Young with mysterious injuries.  Same for the Knicks, Porzingis suffered a torn ACL towards the back half of the season last year that put him out for most of the year this year.  They were bad, and they played a developmental style trying to get the most out of their young guys, but this would punish them because KP tore his ACL.

This, IMO, is the most effective way to implement the lottery.  It doesn't reward teams from being record-breaking bad records, but it also doesn't necessarily help teams aren't horrendous, but aren't playoff teams.  

Lottery winners-
NOP moved from 7 to 1
MEM moved from 8 to 2
LAL moved from 11-4

Lottery losers-
NYK moved from 1 to 3
CLE moved from 2 to 5
PHX moved from 3 to 6
CHI moved from 4 to 7
ATL moved from 5 to 8
WAS moved from 6 to 9

This system tells teams that hey, while you may be rewarded ever so slightly for having a worse record, if you're competitive, trying to make the playoffs, you can still get a high draft pick.  It also creates a lot more parody.
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cameroncrazies02
First crack at a mock draft.  The caveat is that there is going to be trades.  #1, #3, #4 could all be traded, but it won't necessarily change the order that much.

1-New Orleans-PF-Zion Williamson-if the Hornets do trade Anthony Davis, nabbing Zion with the first pick is a nice consolation prize and the Pelicans could re-form their franchise entirely after looking like it was a lost cause just a year ago.  On the other hand, the Hornets COULD try to trade the pick for a monster package in return and try to convince AD to stay, but that seems like it won't happen.  Their best bet is to draft Zion, trade AD, collect a bunch of players and assets and start anew.

2-Memphis-PG-Ja Morant-if there was ever a franchise that needed a big break in the lottery, it was MEM.  After toiling in mediocrity the last few years battling dualing injuries from Conley and Marc Gasol, the Grizzlies tried to give it another run, spending way too much in free agency and struck out big time before trading Gasol.  Nabbing the 2nd overall pick will almost certainly send Mike Conley out in a deal and there are no shortage of suitors for his services.  If that is the case, the Grizzlies will give the keys to the franchise over to Ja and make him the PG of the future.

3-New York-SG/SF-RJ Barrett-the Knicks had a master plan set.  They traded Porzingis, cleared out almost all of their big contracts, made enough room for two max contracts this summer and tanked their way to a potential #1 pick, but the lottery strikes again pushing the Knicks down to the 3rd pick.  While it's not a bad consolation prize, Barrett is a pick and roll playmaker who lacks consistent shooting.  That's not an ideal fit next to a couple max contract guys like Kyrie and Durant.  On the other hand, the Knicks could trade this pick as well.  No doubt they're going to try to convince NO that a #3, plus a bunch of young guys (Knox, Robinson, Trier, Smith Jr) is a package that would entice them into an AD deal.  With the Knicks cooling on Irving after his dramatic year, the Knicks could certainly acquire AD, sign Durant and still have some money left over for other contracts.

4-LA Lakers-SG-Jarrett Culver-this pick is completely up in the air and if there's a trade coming in any of these picks, it's from LA.  They don't have the luxury to draft and develop a rookie with Lebron staring at 35.  While Culver would be a good fit, no doubt LA will look to trade this pick, potentially for AD as well.  Regardless of who's picking here, Culver looks to be right around this spot.  He doesn't have a lot of flash to his game-he's not overly athletic and has a slow release, but he's a scorer.

5-Cleveland-SF-Cam Reddish-CLE really struck out in the lottery.  They were sitting at 2 and looking comfortable taking Barrett or Morant regardless of fit next to Sexton, but alas, they drop to 5.  Here, they'll likely be looking at selecting Reddish or DeAndre Hunter, two players with distinctly different profiles.  Reddish is a pure potential player.  He didn't play well at Duke, but was surrounded by other stars preventing him from breaking out.  He's young at 19 years old, an athletic freak with a defensive prowess and a potentially evolving offensive game not seen as he played off ball most of the time behind Zion and Barrett.

6-Phoenix-PG-Coby White-PHX too, was hoping to move up or stay at 3 and hope Morant fell to them.  While they fall back here, they'll have their pick between White and Darius Garland.  White gets the nod after a stellar year at UNC, he's a steady playmaker and a big PG at 6'5".  Garland's a risky play at this point due to a knee injury which I think will cause him to fall in the draft.

7-Chicago-PG-Darius Garland-CHI fell in the draft from 4 to 7, but it won't hinder their pick that much.  CHI will be searching high and low for a PG and Garland could fall to them after tearing his meniscus last year.  Garland actually has a net-negative assist to turnover ratio which is not good for a PG, but he's an excellent scorer and pick and roll player.

8-Atlanta-F-DeAndre Hunter-ATL was slotted for the 5th and 9th picks, but fell to 8th and 10th in the lottery.  ATL will have the luxury of taking best player available because they just need talent on their roster.  They hit it big two years in a row with John Collins, then Trae Young coming around during the second half of the season to push for ROY and also nabbing Kevin Huerter in the middle of the 1st last year.  Hunter would slot in perfectly for this team as a scrappy defender, a very good scorer and spot up shooter and someone come in ready to play right away.

9-Washington-PF-Brandon Clarke-WAS could trade Bradley Beal this summer which may change the direction of this pick, but WAS needs some front court depth with Markieff Morris a free agent and very little talent otherwise.  Clarke is an absolute monster on the inside.  He's undersized at 6'8", but averaged over 20 PPG and 3.5 blocks per game at Gonzaga.  He would compliment one of the biggest surprises of last year, Tomas Bryant, really well in their front court.

10-Atlanta-C-Jaxson Hayes-if ATL can nab both Hunter and Hayes, it'd be a huge win for them.  Hayes came into the year off the NBA radar entirely, he's still only 18 years old and very raw on both ends of the court, but he averaged 3.5 blocks per game at Texas.  Hayes would round out their front court nicely and they could enter the season with Young, Huerter, Hunter, Collins and Hayes as their building block starting 5 moving forward.

11-Minnesota-SG-Kevin Porter Jr-MIN really needs to hit on something.  They're toiling in mediocrity and dangerously closing in on the dreaded unhappy franchise cornerstone.  Karl Anthony Towns re-signed on a max deal with MIN after they traded Jimmy Butler, so they hold the cards moving forward.  Porter has a checkered background and was suspended at USC for conduct issues, but has all the talent in the world as a prototypical 6'6" SG with shooting, size and playmaking ability, something MIN is severely lacking in their backcourt.

12-Charlotte-C-Bol Bol-CHA is in a scary place right now.  They may lose out on Kemba Walker to free agency which would reset their entire franchise.  CHA also has a glut of centers-Kaminsky, Zeller, Hernangomez, Biyombo, but CHA doesn't have the freedom to pick and choose, they need to take best player available.  Bol Bol was certainly bound to be a top 5-7 pick in this draft before his foot injury put him out for much of the season.  Before that though, he was averaging 21 points per game along with nearly 10 rebounds and 3 blocks.  He has a very unique skillset as an outside-in player, but he has the potential to be a defensive force in the NBA.  He will need a lot of tutoring and to put on a lot of size.  The major concern is his frame and potential for continuing injury issues.

13-Miami-SG-Tyler Herro-MIA is reportedly interested in trading for Mike Conley so this pick could be up in the air.  But MIA needs an injection of youth and scoring, especially on the perimeter.  Herro I think is going to climb up draft boards quickly in workouts.  He was a star at Kentucky showing off some really nice scoring ability, handles and pick and roll ability.  He would be a great fit on a team desperately needing a ballhandling scorer.

14-Boston-PF-Sekou Doumbouya-while this isn't an ideal fit for BOS, a very raw, 18 year old prospect, there's no way BOS misses out on a guy with potential as high as Doumbouya's again (a shot at their pick of Kelly Olynyk over Giannis in 2013).  Doumbouya is 18 years old, has a 6'9" frame he's clearly still growing into and is a versatile forward both on offense and defense.  He isn't a primary ballhandler, but can do so in open space.

15-Detroit-SG-Romeo Langford-DET is right around the position where the draft really starts to fall off again.  They also have such little talent on their roster, they'll take just about anyone.  Luke Kennard looks to be their SG of the future, but they're not afraid to play multiple guards on the floor together in front of Griffin and Drummond.  Langford shot horrible percentages at Indiana, but came into his collegiate career as a highly touted prospect.  He's getting by in this 1st round on name recognition, but if he comes into workouts showing off an improved outside jump shot, he could be a steal.
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gstacy
where do the Bucks pick?
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cameroncrazies02
30th.  They hold their rights to their pick, they cannot trade the pick before the draft, but can trade the player drafted after the draft.  I believe CBA rules state though, that you can't trade a player for 30 days after he's drafted.  Of course, none of the trades on draft night are league approved, they're all simply agreed upon until the league approves them, so the Bucks could handshake a deal to draft a player for a trade later.
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gstacy
so do we have a prediction on who they will take or trade rumors?
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cameroncrazies02
gstacy wrote:
so do we have a prediction on who they will take or trade rumors?


A trade is going to be tough, but if they made a trade for the 30th pick, it'd be to dump Snell's contract.  And it'd probably be 30, Snell and a future 2nd, or 30, Snell and Brown to free up cap space for this summer to very comfortably sign all of our free agents and have wiggle room next year.

If they keep their pick, there are a few targets I have in mind.

C-Mfiondu Kabengele-while I don't think Kabengele will be there at 30, he's mocked to the Bucks in a few different spots.  He's a 6'11" center from FSU, a great second jump, a rim runner with a pretty good outside stroke.

SF-Cameron Johnson-a 23 year old, 6'8.5" SF from UNC, the best pure shooter in the draft.  He's old for his draft age and doesn't offer much outside of his shooting, but having a guy roam the perimeter that can consistently knock down 3's would be great.

PG-Ty Jerome-an almost 22 year, 6'5" PG from Virginia.  He doesn't have elite athleticism and would struggle with that in the NBA, but there are a ton of really good NBA role playing PG's who have found their niche without elite athleticism such as Fred VanVleet.  He's a knock down shooter, a smart passer who doesn't turn the ball over much and a really good defender.

F-Darius Bazley-a 6'9" combo forward who chose to essentially take a year off from basketball.  He was a highly touted prospect, chose to go to the G-League in lieu of college, then went back on that and became a paid intern for New Balance.  He's ultra thin and plays much like a very young Giannis when he came into the league-a fluid athlete, grabs rebounds and runs the floor, but needs to add strength, touch on his shot and finishing technique.  He'd be a big project.
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cameroncrazies02
Mock Draft V2-

1-Pelicans-F-Zion Williamson-the obvious #1 pick and future franchise cornerstone for the Pelicans.

2-Grizzlies-PG-Ja Morant-you can pen this pick in too.  MEM gets their PG of the future and will certainly test the trade market for Mike Conley as there are a bunch of teams searching for a PG.

3-NY Knicks-G/F-RJ Barrett-with Durant out for most of next season, Kyrie likely signing in Brooklyn and Anthony Davis traded to the Lakers, the Knicks are without a plan.  They will certainly chase Kemba Walker, but he'll have far greater offers-the supermax in CHA or a near max in LAL to play for a contender.  The Knicks trade of Porzingis is looking harder to swallow at this point.

4-Pelicans-PG-Darius Garland-regardless of what the Pels do with this pick, Garland is likely the pick.  I find him to have one of the highest ceilings in this draft and plays very similar to Damian Lillard with a bigger frame.  David Griffin is going to search high and wide to see what he can nab with this pick considering the fit and roster formation they have currently.

5-Cavaliers-SG-Jarrett Culver-CLE will have the luxury of taking whoever they find to be the best player available here.  They have a lot of holes to fill and it's likely down to Culver, Hunter and Doumbouya.  I slotted Culver in based on his scoring ability which CLE needs far more off on the perimeter.

6-Suns-F-Sekou Doumbouya-nobody fits perfectly here for PHX, they could use a PG, but I'm not sure they reach for Coby White.  They have a need at PF and Doumbouya fits the mold as a ball handling, playmaking 6'9" combo forward.  He'll need a lot of tutelage and isn't on track to contribute immediately, but he'd be a great fit with Devin Booker.

7-Bulls-PG-Coby White-rumors are that CHI promised White if he's available at 7.  CHI has had leak issues with draft prospects in the past (Chandler Hutchison last year) and I find that rumor to be fitting.  CHI needs to upgrade it's PG position and White would take a lot of burden off LaVine as a ballhandler and give them too ballhandling scorers.

8-Hawks-SF-Cam Reddish-ATL will have the ability to pick between Reddish and Hunter here.  Reddish has a higher ceiling as a scorer and elite defender, but also a lower floor from Hunter due to his lack of production in college.  He has been killing it in workouts, but workouts are safe-guarded for prospects.  I'm cautiously optimistic on Reddish but he has the frame and skillset to be really good.

9-Wizards-SF-DeAndre Hunter-Hunter could find himself anywhere between 5 and 9 in this draft and here, he falls to his lowest spot.  WAS could use a utility player like Hunter-a good scorer with a solid 3 point shot, decent rebounder and theoretical defender.

10-Hawks-C-Jaxson Hayes-personally, this wouldn't be my ideal pick for ATL, I'd probably shoot for the moon with Bol Bol, but Hayes has been mocked here far more often than not.  He's a rim running, shot blocking center who is raw in every aspect.  His rebounding numbers are a bit of a concern from college, but he has the athleticism to be efficient.  ATL has a need at center with Dewayne Dedmon likely heading for free agency, but will be able to bring Hayes along slowly with Alex Len under contract.

11-Timberwolves-PF-Brandon Clarke-I've seen a few variations of this pick, but Clarke is the best fit and BPA for me here.  He's undersized at 6'8" for a PF, but plays far taller than his size projects.  He's ultra-athletic, goes for every rebound, has shown flashes of ability as a mid-post scorer and swallows up every rebound around the basket.  He'd provide toughness next to KAT they need.

12-Hornets-C-Bol Bol-if the Hornets can get Kemba to re-sign, Bol Bol would be a great pick up for them.  They already have a plethora of centers, but none are difference makers.  Bol's foot injury concerns are a huge issue based on his size and the track record for guys his size with foot problems is bad, but he was dominant in the time he spent at Oregon.  CHA could bring him along slowly with Zeller and Hernangomez under contract, allow him to heal properly and add functional size and strength, but he'd be a great pick and roll partner for Kemba.

13-Miami-SG-Romeo Langford-MIA has some needs all over their roster, but most notably, a consistent scorer at SG is the biggest.  Langford shot poorly at IND, but took on the bulk of the load and with a decent roster around him, would allow him to properly operate off ball.

14-Celtics-PF-PJ Washington-I didn't love Washington watching his tape, but he doesn't have any overt weaknesses.  Similarly, he doesn't have an extravagant strengths.  He's a good defender, rebounder and can score out to the 3P line.  BOS will have a need at PF too and they'll have their choice of a plethora of bigs around this point in the draft.

15-Pistons-SF-Nassir Little-Little underperformed at UNC, but much like Reddish, has the frame and skillset to succeed.  He's a 6'6" SF with a 7'1" wingspan and body size to defend bigger perimeter players and swallow up smaller ones.  DET has a few primary defenders on their roster, most notably Bruce Brown, and need better shooting on the perimeter, but beggers can't be choosers at 15.  The idea of Little being good is easy, the development and production will be harder to come by.

16-Magic-SG-Nickeil Alexander-Walker-NAW is in the glut of SG's in this range of the draft, but is probably the most well rounded scorer and defender.  He can score all over the floor using his length, 6'6" with a 6'9" wingspan and projects as the best defender of the group while offering some playmaking capabilities.  ORL needs depth at SG with Terrence Ross headed for free agency and Evan Fournier being a bit inconsistent.

17-Hawks-SG-Tyler Herro-with ATL nabbing Reddish at 8 and Hayes at 10, they'll look to bolster their backcourt here.  Herro is a cold blooded pick and roll ballhandler.  He can make plays with the ball in his hands all over the floor and score from anywhere.  He's hurt by a bit of athleticism issues, but a Young, Herro, Huerter grouping would be so much fun to watch on the perimet.

18-Pacers-F-Rui Hachimura-with Thaddeus Young headed for free agency and lack of depth up front, especially at PF, Hachimura would be a great fit in IND.  He can score everywhere and put up 20 PPG in college.  He's not a great defender or rebounder, but IND has had the knack of producing a team oriented defensive scheme that locks down opposing teams which would be a great fit for Rui.

19-Spurs-SF-Cameron Johnson-there's a lot of opportunity here for SA with some good prospects remaining.  I think SA goes for a guy who can play right away.  They have plenty of scorers and playmakers on their team and need consistent outside shooting.  Johnson is the best shooter in the draft by far and is ready to play right away.  

20-Celtics-SG-Kevin Porter Jr-if BOS keeps all of their picks, I'd expect them to go guard heavy here late.  Kevin Porter Jr has some major maturity concerns, he had a bit of a rough go at USC, but he's a nifty lefty scorer.  He can rise up at the rim and has a nasty stepback jumper.  He might be the best pure scorer after the top 6 or 7, but he's very young and will need proper tutelage.

21-Thunder-SF-Keldon Johnson-OKC may go guard here due to their severe lack of depth, but Johnson could offer a very unique skillset to compliment Westbrook and George.  He's a 6'7" SF with a 6'10" wingspan, he has a supreme motor and some incredible athleticism considering his bulk.  He's a great rebounder and can score getting to the rack first and foremost but also possesses a decent outside jumper.  Considering OKC's versatility, Johnson would fit in well along the forward rotation in OKC.

22-Celtics-PF-Luka Samanic-if BOS keeps this pick, they may try to stash Samanic.  He's a 6'11" Euro prospect.  He moves well with the ball in his hands, can post up and shoot from the perimeter and shows to be a really good passer.  He has a negative wingspan and doesn't defend well or block shots, but projects much like a Davis Bertans with better ball handling ability.

23-Jazz-PF-Grant Williams-depending on Derrick Favors contract, UTA could use depth up front.  Williams is a bully on the inside at 6'7", 240 lbs.  He plows his way to the rim and is effective with a soft touch under the rim and as a rebound swallower.  He may be limited laterally as a defender and as an outside shooter, he's a bit of an old school player, but would compliment the rest of the team pretty well.

24-76ers-C-Goga Bitadze-most mocks have Bitadze quite a bit higher.  He's a monster inside at 7'1" with a 250 lb frame, he operates as a roller in the pick and roll operating effectively with soft touch and soft hands.  He can also stretch the floor out to 3.  He's been a late bloomer in this draft as teams see him developing in a similar style to Brook Lopez last season, but he's got a ways to go.  PHI needs depth at center behind Embiid and if Bitadze develops at the rate he's going, they wouldn't lose much with him on the floor.

25-Trailblazers-G/F-Matisse Thybulle-outside of having the coolest name in the draft, Thybulle is a strictly defender.  His defensive numbers are absolutely insane form college.  He has long arms and a good vertical that allows him to steal and block anything in his range.  POR has a plethora of scorers, but could use a more consistent perimeter defender.

26-Cavaliers-F-Chuma Okeke-holding two first round picks, the Cavs will likely take a long shot late in the 1st.  Okeke tore his ACL in the NCAA tournament so he won't be available to play until mid season.  That's a big blow for a draft prospect who'd probably be near the middle of the 1st round without the injury.  He'll have a similar path of OG Anunoby-a prospect with a lot of potential but with an injury that'll cost him a good chunk of his rookie season.  Okeke is a defensive terror at both forward positions, but also has a lot of polish and all-around game on the offensive end.  He won't necessarily beat everyone off the dribble, but he's a consistently good shooter and long enough to score around the rim efficiently.

27-Nets-G/F-Talen Horton-Tucker-THT has a very unique game that I think will launch him into the 1st round.  He's one of the youngest players in this draft which is why getting him in the 1st round is a win because you'll have an extra year or two to develop him.  He plays like a 6'4" Draymond Green.  He has some scoring ability, but is a little wild on the offensive side of the ball.  But he's a great passer and has a 7'1" wingspan that allows him to swallow up opposing defenders.  His body frame is strange for an NBA player, but it'll give him the opportunity to play multiple positions.  The Nets have a load of talented players and surrounding likely signing Kyrie Irving with guys who can do more than just score will be important.

28-Golden State Warriors-C-Mfiondu Kabengele-there will be a late 1st/early 2nd run of centers which is perfect for Golden State who will lose Looney, Bell and Jerebko to free agency.  Kabengele can be a roll man in the pick and roll and spot up for 3.  He didn't play extended minutes at Florida State but was more of an energy guy but his per 36 numbers look pretty good.  He's a project, but has the far superior all-around tools than other centers available.

29-Spurs-SF-Dylan Windler-the Spurs could use one of those centers available in the draft, but Windler may be too good to pass up.  He's 6'7" with a 6'10" wingspan, shot 43% from 3 on 7 attempts per game and averaged 10+ rebounds per game at Belmont.  This is a sneaky guy that could shoot up way higher in this draft.  He'd be a great fit for the Spurs, spreading the floor for DeRozan and Aldridge.

30-Bucks-G-Ty Jerome-if the Bucks keep this pick, there will be a litany of players available with intrigue.  Jerome tops my list among the guys available as a 6'5" combo guard.  He runs off screens and has a super fast trigger.  He shot nearly 40% from 3 on 5.5 attempts per game.  He's also got some great court vision.  The downside will be his defense, he's not a great defender.  But being able to play him at both guard spots would be crucial for the Bucks if they lose Hill and/or Brogdon.  He'd pair nicely with Bledsoe and Divincenzo.
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cameroncrazies02
With the draft just three days away, trade talks have kicked off and Anthony Davis trade is going to set a lot of pieces into motion.  Here are the picks seemingly available and potential offers:

Mike Conley and the #2 pick-with the Grizzlies likely on the track of taking Ja Morant, Conley is going to become available.  I don't think they'll trade him anytime soon unless there's a flood in the market for his services, I think MEM would prefer to keep Conley and give this new roster another go early in the season before punting.  But with how many draft picks are available via trade and the free agent market being chock full of talent, this would be a good time to unload him.

MEM trades Mike Conley to BOS for Gordon Hayward, #14 and MEM 2020 1st

For MEM-MEM is in a precarious position with their draft pick next year.  It is owed to BOS and is protected 1-6 in 2020 and unprotected in 2021 which makes their navigating the future tough.  If they re-build around a young core, they're going to lose out on a potential high pick in the next 2 years.  In this trade, they get back a lottery pick this year and their own pick next year carving out a much cleaner path for the future.  They'd probably be a bit of a mess next year paying Hayward, Parsons and Kyle Anderson a combined $65M, but Parsons is expiring and Hayward expiring after next season.  At 2 they'd take Garland and at 14 they could have their choice of one of the second tiers of SG's like Langford, Alexander-Walker, Herro or Porter Jr.  

For BOS-this seems like way too much for BOS to give up, but they're going to be desperate to make a move.  Al Horford is reportedly leaning towards declining his option for a 3 year deal with BOS likely in the range of 3/75.  That'd give them a 2 year window to make something happen.  It'd deplete the rest of the assets they have as far as picks go, but Conley, Brown, Tatum and Horford would be a good combination.

MEM trades Mike Conley to IND for Damantas Sabonis

For MEM-Jonas Valanciunas declined his player option which MEM seems like they might try to re-sign him.  But if they can replace him with a year of Sabonis on a rookie contract before an extension kicks in, they may be better served to do so.  Sabonis and Jaren Jackson would be a great fit together as well.

For IND-this would be IND's all-in move this summer as it seems they may take a backseat in free agency to other more high profile teams.  IND was great last year before Oladipo went down and upgrading their PG position to Conley would push them even further up the chain.  This trade would be complicated for IND, they'd be sending out far less in contracts for Conley than what they're taking back so it'd eat up most of their cap space, but Conley's contract is only for 2 years and would be worth the run especially if Kawhi goes West.

MEM trades Mike Conley to UTA for Derrick Favors, Dante Exum, Grayson Allen and the #23 pick

For MEM-Favors would give MEM an expiring contract this season on top of all Parsons, Bradley and Miles.  To make salaries match they'd have to take back Exum who has 2 years remaining at about $10M per season.  Exum has been hurt almost every season of his career, but has a lot of talent as a playmaker and defensive stopper when healthy.  Allen and the 23rd pick would be the sweeteners in the deal.  

For UTA-with Rubio headed for free agency, Conley would be an instant upgrade at PG for them alleviating Mitchell of all the ballhandling duties.  This would deplete their roster especially in the front court, but they'd have about $20M in cap space to make some moves, especially ones that compliment Gobert better.  

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#4-New Orleans Pelicans-the Pels acquired the 4th pick from the Lakers in the AD trade and are reportedly making it available.  I'm not entirely certain what they're seeking except more assets.  I think they want to go the Process route and collect as many picks as possible to open up a world of possibilities for the future.  Any team looking to move up to 4 is targeting Darius Garland or Jarrett Culver.

PHX trades #6, top 8 protected 2021 1st, MIL 2020 1st to NOP for #4-

For PHX-the Suns move up and get a player that fits the mold of their needs.  Now whether they take Garland or Culver is up in the air.  Culver has been mocked to them, but only because he's been available at times.  If Garland was available, I think they'd take him.  This would free up an opportunity for PHX to use its cap space at PF instead of PG.  It'd be quite a bit to move up two spots in the draft, but the Bucks pick is likely going to be 25-30 and they protect themselves in the 2021 draft in case they're still bad. 

For NOP-New Orleans took on a wealth of Lakers picks that were spread out over the next 6 years.  These two picks they acquire fill in the gaps during that time giving them an extra pick or potential pick every season.  They own the Lakers 2021 1st if it falls within the top 8 otherwise is unprotected in 2022, a pick swap option in 2023 and a 2024 1st OR 2025 1st if they defer the 2024 pick.  This would give them an extra pick in 2020 (MIL), 2021 (PHX-because the Lakers pick isn't likely to be top 8 in 2021), 2022 (LAL), 2023 (LAL pick swap), option for 2024 or 2025 1st.  

NOP trades #4 to ATL for #8, #10, 2023 2nd-

For NOP-in this acquisition, they pick up two additional top 10 picks giving them 3 total.  Jaxson Hayes or Bol Bol would likely be one of those picks as they could use depth at center.  The issue with picking up these two picks is it is very forward/center heavy in this area of the draft.  They certainly could take Bol Bol and Sekou Doumbouya giving them a very interesting combination of those two and Zion for the future, but I think they'd be far better off grabbing another SG which would be a reach at 8 or 10 for any SG.  Having three 1st round picks too creates issues for the future when it comes to extensions and minutes for all three which is why this one seems a bit far fetched unless they took the #8 and OKC's 2022 1st instead.  

For ATL-the Hawks have three 1st round picks last year and two are immediate impact players in Huerter and Young.  I don't think they want to add two more rookies into their roster and would instead trade up for one pick or package them out for a player.  If they moved up to 4, I'm not sure whether they'd take Garland or Culver.  Culver would be a better fit with Young and Huerter, but defense would be a bit problematic for that group.  Garland would play more combo guard and with Young being a ball dominant PG, it isn't a great fit.

NOP trades #4 to CHI for #6, future lottery protected 1st and Chandler Hutchison

For NOP-a similar iteration to the PHX trade, they'd pick up an extra first in the future and a project in Hutchison.  New Orleans can use more wing depth behind Ingram and Hart and Hutchison can play multiple positions.  

For CHI-CHI is going to probably get a little desperate around the draft.  It's very possible Garland and Coby White are off the board leaving CHI with a conundrum when they're so desperate to upgrade their PG position.  In this deal, they'd move up and take Garland and give them a dynamic punch with Garland and LaVine in the backcourt.
---------------------------------

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oldballcoach1
Cam - I hated to see you stop at pick 25.  What are the Bucks going to do??  I here a lot of talk about Ty Jerome.  Give us some options to look at.
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cameroncrazies02
Cam - I hated to see you stop at pick 25.  What are the Bucks going to do??  I here a lot of talk about Ty Jerome.  Give us some options to look at.


I updated to go to 30.  I got a bit tired with the last mock, but finished the 1st round.  Don't be surprised though if the Bucks trade this pick.  They're looking to dump salary.  They could handshake a deal and trade the player after he's drafted and before he's signed.  They clearly want to dump Snell's contract, but it's going to cost more than just the 30th pick.  I think it'd have to include Sterling Brown or Divincenzo which isn't ideal.  The other option is to package 30 with Ilyasova.  That is far more plausible and probably almost too good of a deal for the other team.  Ilyasova is only owed $7M next season which is minimal for acquiring an extra 1st.  I'd be slightly disappointed if the deal was 30 and Ilyasova in a salary dump, but would understand the need to do so.  But if they do that, they better be bringing back everyone except maybe Mirotic.  But that's the problem.  Unless they dump Snell, bringing back Mirotic is going to be tough unless he takes $8-10M per year which doesn't seem overly likely.  If they dump Ilyasova in the deal, then can't bring back Mirotic, they're razor thin in the front court with only Giannis, Lopez and DJ.
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