MY FINAL MOCK-thanks for letting me continually post long, rambling mocks. Love this time of year. Still so much up in the air, but in reality, there's 12 guys at the top who probably will go 1-12. Nobody huge is going to slip so any trade is just in name of team, not by player.
1-PHI-PG-Markelle Fultz-lock it in. Probably the only lock.
2-LAL-PG-Lonzo Ball-seems like they're going to keep this pick regardless of the rumors. If they keep it, Ball is the pick.
3-BOS-F-Jayson Tatum-if there wasn't a good fit here, I'd be more inclined to like BOS's potential of landing a star. But Tatum is a really good player who can play right now. Jaylen Brown hasn't been fantastic and needs to be brought along a bit slower. He can come off the bench. And if BOS does make a trade, it may have to include players which they have little depth right now. Just take Tatum and keep moving forward. They can win 55 games for the next season or two until their next regime comes along with Tatum and whomever they get next year with BKN's pick.
4-PHX-F-Josh Jackson-PHX has been rumored in a lot of trades. None of which to this point have publically included Eric Bledsoe. I could see them picking Fox, but that would include a Bledsoe trade. Take Jackson and keep your 1-3 of Bledsoe, Booker and Jackson.
5-SAC-PG-De'Aron Fox-they'll be elated if Fox lasts to them. The only real threat is PHX taking Fox ahead of SAC, but I don't think they'll be too bummed by getting Jackson too. Fox could answer their PG questions long term.
6-ORL-F-Jonathan Isaac-ORL has a long way to go before they figure everything out and Isaac is going to take awhile, but has a really high ceiling. Patience will be a virtue with him.
7-MIN-PG-Dennis Smith-MIN was rumored to look at a trade of Rubio to DAL for Wes Matthews, as DAL is angling for Ntilikina and might need to jump ahead of NYK for him. That leads me to believe MIN knows if Ntilikina is picked at 7, Smith will fall to them at 9, because NYK won't take Smith. They wouldn't trade their starting PG without a plan to replace him. Maybe that plan is Kris Dunn to run the point, but he was disastrous in his rookie year.
8-NYK-PG-Frank Ntilikina-the rumors of MIN/DAL trade were dead. They could be revived, but if they're not and Ntilikina's on the board, the Knicks will take him.
9-DAL-PF-Lauri Markkanen-with Ntilikina gone, that opens the door for DAL to take Markkanen. He's a nice consolation prize. He may not amount to anything other than a really good shooter, but at this point, you take him and hope he develops into something more. DAL needs more shooting anyway and can fall under the tutelage of Dirk next year.
10-SAC-C-Zach Collins-a haul of Collins and Fox has been predicted for SAC for the last month or so. It scrambles their roster a bit having WCS, Labissiere, Koufus, Papagiannis and now Collins as their big men, but WCS and Koufus become expendable.
11-CHA-SG-Malik Monk-this pick will come down to Monk or Kennard for CHA. Monk's a little more versatile and has a higher ceiling and is a great shooter in his own right, something CHA needs.
12-DET-SG-Luke Kennard-I think DET is dying for Kennard to fall to them. It gives them the ability to let KCP walk to FA where he's going to get severely overpaid.
13-DEN-F/C-Harry Giles-I've pegged DEN to take Giles for awhile. He has the highest upside outside of the top 12. Rumors are that team doctors aren't nearly as concerned about Giles knees as they were a few months ago. He propelled himself into the top 10 conversation for awhile, but I think he settles in DEN.
14-MIA-PF-John Collins-MIA needs some depth up front. They're rumored to be involved in FA conversations of Blake Griffin, but I don't think that'd stifle them from taking Collins. Excellent rebounder, shooting range out to 3.
15-POR-SF-Justin Jackson-POR will try to attach one of their two late picks along with Harkless to rid themselves of his contract. POR is also in win now mode. Jackson provides them depth, maturity, 3 point range and defense.
16-CHI-SG-Donovan Mitchell-I have no idea what CHI's plan is for this pick, but they need an answer in the backcourt beyond 2017 when Wade leaves. Mitchell's really small, but small SG's is the norm nowadays. He can score from anywhere and has elite athleticism.
17-MIL-PF/C-Bam Adebayo-Monroe opting in may give them some pause. If they think they can trade Henson though, I bet they take another big man. The question is, which one? Bam, Leaf, Patton, and Allen are the available bigs here. They brought in Adebayo in a private workout this past week which leads me to believe he may be the front runner.
18-IND-PF-TJ Leaf-IND can go a few directions here, but depth in the front court has to be key. If they trade George, I'd bet Jefferson and Thad Young become instantly available. Jefferson would be harder to move, but at 18, getting Leaf would be good value. He can score all over the court and has great offensive instincts. His major questions are his length and defense.
19-ATL-C-Justin Patton-ATL traded Dwight Howard for Miles Plumlee. I don't think they see Plumlee as their center of the future, but it would give them a year to let a guy like Patton develop. He has the highest upside of any big after Giles.
20-POR-C-Jarrett Allen-if POR can't get rid of their 15th or 20th pick, this would be two great hauls for them. Jackson provides them depth at the 3 while Allen gives them depth in the frontcourt, something POR fans are open to since they hve to watch Meyers Leonard, at 7'2", come out and jack 3's and fear the paint like it's going to kill him. Allen may take a year or two before he's a ready contributor, but POR has that luxury.
21-OKC-G-Frank Jackson-OKC needs instant offense in their backcourt behind Westbrook and Oladipo. Jackson is a bit of a reach at 21, but the last thing OKC needs is another non-shooter, or a big man. I could see them going with a big if they plan to trade Enes Kanter, but his return would probably be less than what he provides them. Jackson would ply a 3rd guard role, something OKC needs badly.
22-BKN-C-Anzejs Pasecniks-BKN has been eyeing Anzejs for awhile. 7'3", good lateral quickness for his size, fluid athlete, can score around the paint and as a spot up shooter. BKN traded Brook Lopez and they need some interior help. Pasecniks is a low risk-high reward player, something BKN needs.
23-TOR-PF/C-DJ Wilson-TOR may have a need at PG, but they could fill in a complimentary guy there. Ibaka is a free agent and it remains to be seen whether TOR is going to pony up max or near max money for him. Wilson may be limited in his game, but he's extremely high energy, wants to block everything in his viscinity and can shoot the 3.
24-UTA-F-Tyler Lydon-I know, a tall, shooting, white guy in UTAH? Get out. But he fits. Utah can always use more shooters and to get one that can play right now this late in the draft is a steal. To me, he's Ersan Ilyasova.
25-ORL-F-OG Anunoby-if ORL is going to swing for the fences with Isaac, why not keep swinging with Anunoby. The concern with him is he tore his ACL in January, so he won't be ready for the start of the season. ORL has a lot of young talent on their team, they don't need to bury another guy. Anunoby can come in, recover, get in some D-League games just before the all-star break and maybe by then, ORL will have packaged some of their young talent together and Anunoby can get into the rotation. He has a really high ceiling as a guy like Gerald Wallace. Ferocious defense and rebounder as a SF.
26-POR-PF-Isaiah Hartenstein-POR won't keep all three 1st rounders, but if they keep this one, they could draft and stash Hartenstein. Legitimate 7', shooter, good athlete, rim roller. But he's nowhere near ready and would be a good bet to draft and stash.
27-LAL-SG-Josh Hart-teams are loving Hart and has moved into the 1st round here. With Russell gone and Nick Young opting out, LAL needs some help in the backcourt, shooting wise. Hart is mature enough to play right now, can shoot from anywhere inside of half court and played on a college team that played ferocious defense.
28-LAL-SG-Terrance Ferguson-I don't think LAL keeps all 3 of these picks, and if they do, one will draft and stash. Hartenstein and Pasecniks are off the board. I'm not sure of Ferguson's ability to be stashed, but he played in AUS last year forgoing his college eligibility. He has some work to do after not doing well against top level guards in this draft during the combine, but he's got a high ceiling.
29-SAS-C-Ike Anigbogu-I can't believe Anigbogu fell this far, but it's possible. At this point, SAS have to take him. He's extremely raw and young, but he has the intangibles to be an elite interior defender, something SAS needs in their front court.
30-UTA-C-Tony Bradley-with UTA needing so much work to do in FA, I'm not sure they keep both 1sts tying up their salary with rookie contracts. At 30, Bradley's pretty decent value. He was a really good offensive rebounder, has a big, wide body and looks to be the part of a role playing big man. He's a bit stiff though, dropping him this low.
Best of the rest-
-Jonah Bolden-I LOVE Bolden. 6'10" PF with guard skills, passes really well, can shoot from 3, and can throw it down from the free throw line. He has elite perimeter defensive skills despite his size and wants to block everything near him. The drawback is some question his maturity and actual court productivity despite his tantalizing skill.
-Jawun Evans-somebody will get a steal in Evans in the 2nd round. Heady PG, dynamic scorer and distributor, however is massively undersized, likely under 6'.
-Jordan Bell-undersized PF, terrific rebounder, defender and athlete.